18.8 million users will buy iPhone 3G 4S

Although not very competitive prices compared to some competing models, iPhone 4S recorded excellent results with regard to pre-order. But how many users will have an older version of the smartphone to put hands in their pockets to buy the new product. The analyst Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray has tried to answer the question, focusing particular attention on the number of the owner of an iPhone 3G ready for the upgrade.

According to data collected from Munster, in the coming years will total 18.8 million units of iPhone 4S purchased by those who are currently in possession of an iPhone by a third generation.

This is a value obtained through a mathematical calculation. Assuming that 27.6 of 3G owners have said in June its intention to change your smartphone, you can subtract this number 25% that has already purchased an iPhone 4 and 15% passed the competitive platform Android. The result, as mentioned above, is 18.8 million. In the count were not considered the current owners of the iPhone 3G, iPhone 4 or the first-generation model.

More generally, the analyst expects a sales volume amounted to 104.4 million units for the iPhone in the fiscal year 2012, an increase of 35% compared to 2011. In the past twelve months the increase was over 90%, as well as in the previous year.